ArvindSt: Five Novel Stochastic Regression Models with Arvind-Distributed Errors and Effects

Implements the 'Arvind' distribution and five novel stochastic regression models that replace the traditional Gaussian error assumption with 'Arvind'-distributed errors. The 'Arvind' distribution is a flexible single-parameter continuous distribution on the positive real line characterised by a polynomial numerator with Gaussian-type decay. The package provides complete distribution functions (darvind(), parvind(), qarvind(), rarvind()), maximum likelihood estimation via fit_arvind_mle(), and five model-fitting routines: Random Walk on Coefficients via fit_rw1(), Time-Varying Coefficient Linear Model via fit_tvlm(), Simulation-Extrapolation via fit_simex(), Mixed-Effects Regression via fit_mixed(), and Regime-Switching Hidden Markov Model via fit_hmm(). Additionally provides Monte Carlo forecasting with prediction intervals via forecast_arvind(), comprehensive goodness-of-fit diagnostics (21 metrics and 25 plots) via diagnostics_arvind() and plot_arvind(), k-fold and rolling-window cross-validation via cv_arvind(), and unified model comparison via summary_arvind(). For more details see Pandey, Singh, Tyagi, and Tyagi (2024) "Modelling climate, COVID-19, and reliability data: A new continuous lifetime model under different methods of estimation", Statistics and Applications, 22(2), <https://ssca.org.in/journal.html>.

Version: 1.0.0
Depends: R (≥ 4.0.0)
Imports: stats, graphics, grDevices, utils, ggplot2, forecast, tvReg, lme4, depmixS4, reshape2, rlang
Suggests: testthat (≥ 3.0.0), knitr, rmarkdown
Published: 2026-05-11
DOI: 10.32614/CRAN.package.ArvindSt (may not be active yet)
Author: Shikhar Tyagi ORCID iD [aut, cre], Arvind Pandey [aut]
Maintainer: Shikhar Tyagi <shikhar1093tyagi at gmail.com>
License: MIT + file LICENSE
NeedsCompilation: no
Language: en-US
Materials: README
CRAN checks: ArvindSt results

Documentation:

Reference manual: ArvindSt.html , ArvindSt.pdf
Vignettes: Introduction to ArvindSt (source, R code)

Downloads:

Package source: ArvindSt_1.0.0.tar.gz
Windows binaries: r-devel: ArvindSt_1.0.0.zip, r-release: not available, r-oldrel: ArvindSt_1.0.0.zip
macOS binaries: r-release (arm64): ArvindSt_1.0.0.tgz, r-oldrel (arm64): ArvindSt_1.0.0.tgz, r-release (x86_64): ArvindSt_1.0.0.tgz, r-oldrel (x86_64): ArvindSt_1.0.0.tgz

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